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Updated Sunday, September 13 2026 · 06:19 AM CDT · 79 posts across last 2 days

★ Priority · 11

The 60/40 Portfolio Re-Invented

PRIORITY
Le Shrub from Reminiscences of a Shrub Operator
  • Traditional 60/40 bond-equity portfolio is broken because sovereign bonds now offer returns below inflation due to reckless fiscal and monetary policies.
  • Bonds no longer provide effective hedging against equity downside due to regime change; in 2008 long-dated Treasuries gained 26% while stocks fell 40%, but this relationship has deteriorated.
  • Author proposes reinventing the 60/40 portfolio concept to move beyond traditional bonds and find better portfolio construction for current macroeconomic environment.
Sep 13, 05:06 AMRead on Substack →

Tough Love: My Brother’s Love Life Is Going Nowhere

PRIORITY
The Free Press
  • Advice column explores how young Americans are de-prioritizing romantic relationships and marriage compared to previous generations.
  • Author is promoting upcoming book 'The Plot Against Love: Why the Kids Aren't Pairing Up' investigating cultural shift away from dating and partnership.
  • Column argues that love should be treated as a central life priority rather than a subplot secondary to career and personal pursuits.
Sep 13, 05:01 AMRead on Substack →

SEVEN Critical Charts I'm Watching Here:

PRIORITY
Macro Charts
  • Stock breadth near historic oversold levels presents potential for upside resolution pending clear catalyst.
  • Recent massive fund deleveraging mirrors historical periods that preceded major rallies.
  • Seven critical chart setups identify opportunities across stocks, with positioning currently a minefield of crowded trades.
Sep 13, 04:38 AMRead on Substack →

The Second Mouse Is About to Get the Cheese

PRIORITY
PauloMacro’s Substack
  • ISM Services Prices Paid signals imminent CPI surge with diesel at all-time highs affecting shipping, retail, and food prices.
  • Stagflation pressures mounting as stimulus rolls off, housing weakens at 7% mortgage rates, and boomer-driven supply increases.
  • Fed faces dilemma between hiking into energy shock or maintaining rates while inflation pressures mount.
Sep 12, 10:51 PMRead on Substack →

The Founder Building an Actual Unicorn. Plus . . .

PRIORITY
The Free Press
  • A Texas-based biotech founder is engineering fluorescent, hypoallergenic cats and exploring creation of mythical creatures like dragons.
  • The Embryo Corporation also develops hyper-productive livestock and sequences racehorses, raising questions about safety and ethics of public genetic engineering kits.
  • The company's accessible DIY genetic engineering tools blur lines between scientific progress and potential biosecurity risks.
Sep 12, 05:01 AMRead on Substack →

(Idea) Tamarack Buys Headwater At An Attractive Price

PRIORITY
Ideas from HFI Research
  • Tamarack Valley Energy acquired Headwater Exploration at a one-for-one stock exchange, reversing expectations of Headwater's premium valuation.
  • Headwater's management team (led by Neil Roszell) is exiting to pursue new exploration opportunities rather than leading the combined entity.
  • The transaction appears favorable to Tamarack but makes the combined entity's shares expensive relative to standalone Tamarack's Clearwater assets.
Sep 11, 08:05 PMRead on Substack →

9/11 and the Work to Be Done

PRIORITY
The Free Press
  • 25 years after 9/11, American unity has dissipated and the nation is divided over basic questions of national identity and historical blame.
  • Leading public figures are distorting 9/11 history and meaning, complicating collective honoring of victims and first responders.
  • Examples include influencers claiming 'America deserved 9/11,' making it harder to maintain shared understanding of the tragedy's significance.
Sep 11, 12:14 PMRead on Substack →

OBSERVATIONS ON CURRENCIES

PRIORITY
Russell Clark from Capital Flows and Asset Markets
  • Korean Won experiencing extreme 15% straight-line move despite fundamentals suggesting currency should be stronger given trade surpluses and semiconductor cycle.
  • Major divergence in currency markets: currencies that should be strong remain weak while weak currencies stay strong, suggesting policy intervention.
  • US Treasury intervention keeping Japanese Yen weak, while Mexican Peso and other currencies resist normal market-based adjustments.
Sep 11, 10:33 AMRead on Substack →

Ferg’s Finds

PRIORITY
Ferg from Trader Ferg
  • Pessimistic narratives are more intellectually seductive and attention-grabbing than optimistic ones, shaping how people process investment and economic information.
  • Bob Robotti argues that inflation, not the Fed, truly controls interest rates, making inflation the 'dog' and Fed policy the 'tail' in market dynamics.
  • Historical doomism (like 1999 Y2K fears) provides context for understanding recurring market cycles and overblown catastrophic predictions.
Sep 11, 10:10 AMRead on Substack →

The Day the World Changed

PRIORITY
The Free Press
  • September 11, 2001 marked an epochal break, ending one era and beginning another, reshaping global geopolitics and domestic policy.
  • Dr. Kristina Jones, an attending psychiatrist at St. Vincent's Hospital (closest to the World Trade Center), worked 13 hours on 9/11 and documented observations of the atrocity and its human toll.
  • The Free Press examines 9/11's enduring legacy through perspectives of columnists, war-on-terror veterans, and firsthand accounts from those who experienced the day.
Sep 11, 08:32 AMRead on Substack →

💬 New thread from Le Shrub

PRIORITY
Le Shrub from Reminiscences of a Shrub Operator
  • Houthis have captured significant Red Sea Coast territory controlling strategic strait access.
  • Trump declined Saudi request for military assistance against Houthi threats.
  • Author critiques geopolitical situation through satirical commentary on regional power dynamics.
Sep 11, 07:43 AMRead on Substack →

Politics · 15

Bring Your Own Power

The Brawl Street Journal
  • Berlin's 5.8TB data leak containing infrastructure details was rejected for ransom and published, creating new attack vectors for power substations.
  • Leaked files reference critical infrastructure including heating plants, fuel depots, and electrical substations, exposing vulnerabilities.
  • Berlin's manual review of 1.4 million files avoids AI tools due to US jurisdiction concerns despite the data already being publicly downloadable.
Sep 13, 01:31 AMRead on Substack →

The America Charlie Kirk Died Defending

Restoring the West by Ayaan Hirsi Ali
  • Charlie Kirk assassinated September 2025 by Tyler Robinson; assassination failed to silence his ideological worldview.
  • Democratic Socialists of America expanded from fringe to wielding direct policy influence in major cities like New York, Chicago, Seattle.
  • Ideas Kirk defended continue gaining relevance as warned-about dangers materialize across American political landscape.
Sep 12, 03:59 PMRead on Substack →

The Gap Between Map & Territory

Jeremy McKeown from Hypernormal Times
  • UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham faces a code-red crisis as gilt yields, Brent crude, and energy prices surge sharply since taking office.
  • Burnham's and Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband's policies ignore market realities, with the former previously claiming the UK should 'get beyond being in hock to bond markets' and the latter pushing aggressive clean energy transition.
  • The gap between their ideological worldviews and economic reality mirrors the broader challenge of implementing climate policy without adequate energy security or financial stability.
Sep 12, 01:19 PMRead on Substack →

The Borders We No Longer Believe In

Restoring the West by Ayaan Hirsi Ali
  • Over 70,000 migrants illegally crossed from Morocco into the Spanish city of Ceuta in 2020, with newly disclosed intelligence showing Moroccan authorities detected and warned of the mass crossing beforehand.
  • Critics dismiss concerns about sovereignty and migration as extremist or Islamophobic, while evidence suggests Morocco may have deliberately allowed the crossing to pressure Spain on territorial issues.
  • The West's tendency to condemn those raising alarm about migration and border security, rather than confronting the underlying dangers, reflects a deeper failure to defend national sovereignty.
Sep 12, 11:59 AMRead on Substack →

Road Rage

environMENTAL
  • Republican Senator Mike Lee pushed to sell 2-3 million acres of public lands for residential development in a 2025 budget bill signed by Trump.
  • Hunters, anglers, and outdoor recreation enthusiasts—typically Republican supporters—fiercely opposed the public lands sale despite backing the administration.
  • The policy risks eroding a key part of the conservative political base by pursuing aggressive land privatization that contradicts outdoor recreation values.
Sep 12, 04:02 AMRead on Substack →

Apricity or Bust

PAID
Doomberg
  • German Chancellor Merz faces historically low approval ratings (15%) and political instability following regional election losses.
  • EU energy policy failures are driving political upheaval across member states by constraining industry and raising costs for citizens.
  • European elites' mishandling of practical economic concerns while pursuing foreign policy adventures is fueling electoral backlash and populist alternatives.
Sep 12, 04:00 AMRead on Substack →

Taxing Billionaires, 9/11, and the Lessons We Forgot

Time Machine from Niall Ferguson
  • California's Proposition 40 proposes a one-time 5% wealth tax on billionaires, raising questions about fiscal viability and economic impact.
  • Ferguson examines the 25-year legacy of 9/11 and its ongoing effects on American policy and society.
  • Article explores tensions between progressive wealth redistribution goals and practical economic consequences.
Sep 12, 01:23 AMRead on Substack →

Endless Summer: Iran, Woke Two? and The George Costanza Theory of War

Time Machine from Niall Ferguson
  • Economic sanctions as tools for Iranian cooperation may constitute another strategic misstep in Persian Gulf policy.
  • Debate over ideological movements (Woke politics) and their cultural implications continues to shape discourse.
  • Academic excellence and institutional quality are declining, obscured by identity-focused controversies.
Sep 12, 01:20 AMRead on Substack →

War of the Worlds

Eli from Man of Steele’s Substack
  • Personal memoir of witnessing 9/11 attacks and the shift in global perspective that followed.
  • Author's father was writing a speech for the Durban Conference when attacks occurred, which had promoted anti-Israel and anti-Western narratives.
  • Historical reflection on how geopolitical events reshape discourse and priorities in international relations.
Sep 11, 03:14 PMRead on Substack →

Friday Five (September 11, 2026)

Ruy Teixeira and Michael Baharaeen
  • Friday Five feature curates five notable perspectives weekly to help readers navigate oversaturated media coverage.
  • Post marks 25th anniversary of 9/11, reflecting on how the attacks irreversibly changed American life.
  • Includes analysis on Gaza recovery and Hamas expulsion as a featured perspective from the past week.
Sep 11, 01:29 PMRead on Substack →

25 Years After 9/11, America Has FORGOTTEN Who the Enemy Was

Shana Meyerson from Unapologetically Jewish
  • Personal memoir of author's experience on morning of 9/11 while running in Santa Monica, learning about attacks through radio.
  • Describes surreal realization of the unfolding tragedy and the disconnect between her knowledge and others' ignorance of events.
  • Reflects on how the event divided life into 'before' and 'after' moments for those who experienced it.
Sep 11, 01:19 PMRead on Substack →

25 Years After 9/11, The Event Is Being Distorted Into Anti-Jewish Propaganda

John Aziz
  • Author shares personal memories of visiting World Trade Center in April 2001, just months before the attacks.
  • Argues that the historical narrative of 9/11 is being distorted into anti-Jewish propaganda in contemporary discourse.
  • Establishes credibility through eyewitness account of the towers and their architectural significance.
Sep 11, 12:59 PMRead on Substack →

I’ve finished the book. What a shambles I’ve come back to.

Andrew Fox from Fox On War
  • International sanctions against Israeli settlements announced by Britain, France, and Canada signal long-term diplomatic pressure beyond immediate economic impact.
  • Britain combining targeted individual sanctions with broader prohibitions on settlement goods and expanded business targeting powers.
  • Author warns Israel to look strategically ahead, as seemingly modest sanctions can have significant eventual consequences.
Sep 11, 11:03 AMRead on Substack →

British Israeli terror victim blasts UK Sanctions. The battle over Israel’s disputed territory, and how one man de…

Jonathan Sacerdoti
  • Rabbi Leo Dee, a British-Israeli terror victim, questions whether British taxpayers should fund families of terrorists who murdered British citizens.
  • UK sanctions on Israel and threats against Jews in the West Bank raise questions about who will ultimately suffer from such policies.
  • The piece frames tension between British policy positions and the interests of terror victims and affected communities.
Sep 11, 09:00 AMRead on Substack →

Guilt-tripping on a new level

Irina Slav on energy
  • Nepal demanded major carbon emitters (China, US, India) pay for climate-related flood damages.
  • Author argues climate reparations claims oversimplify complex causation and global responsibility.
  • Piece critiques victimhood mentality as basis for international climate compensation demands.
Sep 11, 07:03 AMRead on Substack →

Markets · 13

China Weekly Wrap: The Perception Gap Edition

Panda Perspectives
  • Chinese markets showed conflicting signals with strong economic data (3.8% producer price growth, 25% export growth) but 94% of A-shares fell on Friday.
  • Gap between official economic accounts and lived experience in China is widening, with retail traders focused on chip sector companies rather than broader market recovery.
  • Publication is temporarily unable to release portfolio updates and company notes due to ongoing regulatory licensing process.
Sep 13, 05:59 AMRead on Substack →

You Never Own Enough Vessels…And Enough Tungsten

PAID
Mihail from TheOldEconomy
  • Tanker shipping market is experiencing extreme volatility with 30x gains in recent quarters, reminiscent of past boom-bust cycles in shipping.
  • Historical comparison shows dry bulk market peaked in 2008 with Capesize rates at $240,000/day before collapsing below $2,000/day during the financial crisis.
  • Current shipping and mining sectors offer significant event-driven macro opportunities as part of broader geoeconomic transition dynamics.
Sep 13, 05:30 AMRead on Substack →

The Week That Matters (7th-11th Sep, 2026)

Mateen Chaudhry from Mateen's Newsletter - Discuss The Tape
  • Fractional stock ownership and tokenization create psychological participation in capitalism while real wage growth stagnates.
  • Financial engineering through accessible stock trading masks underlying productivity questions about actual economic growth.
  • Debate over tokenized stocks highlights tension between financial accessibility and real economic value creation.
Sep 13, 12:36 AMRead on Substack →

Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 13 September 2026

Callum Thomas (Weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm)
  • Pre-Fed jitters driving S&P500 weakness with deteriorating breadth across equal-weighted and breadth metrics.
  • Corporate bonds, correlations, and volatility indicators suggest caution with liquidity becoming a headwind for stocks.
  • Growth has peaked versus value and semiconductors are stagnating; bullish resolution possible but requires several conditions to align.
Sep 13, 12:04 AMRead on Substack →

A Chart Party is Bigger in Texas...

Garrett Baldwin
  • Multi-day absence from free flagship due to extensive Getting Started video series for paid subscribers.
  • Money Printer Pro lessons cover Liquidity, Momentum, Insider Buying, Trend Investing, and Quality+Value strategies.
  • Tim Melvin discusses Deep Value investing with different metrics for Banking, Insurance, and Real Estate sectors.
Sep 12, 03:30 PMRead on Substack →

The Wrap – Barometers of Market Stupidity, the AI Edition.

Herb Greenberg's Red Flag Alerts
  • Berkshire Hathaway's long-term underperformance relative to market gains questions the conglomerate's structure and effectiveness.
  • History shows brilliant companies and executives often fail due to overconfidence and financial engineering (Enron, LTCM, telecom giants).
  • AI companies display suspicious financial metrics and sketchy paper trails similar to past bubbles, warranting investor skepticism.
Sep 12, 09:41 AMRead on Substack →

Plumbing Feed: Adventures at the Long-end of the Curve

Conks
  • Treasury buyback mania has faded, revealing that spreads and swap dynamics were more important drivers than previously understood.
  • Swap spread wideners outperformed outright bond positions as UST-SOFR spreads kept widening despite initial buyback enthusiasm.
  • Fed guidance shifts and balance sheet relief measures had secondary effects on dealer participation in Treasury market-making.
Sep 12, 07:04 AMRead on Substack →

Bessent’s Gamble

Peruvian Bull
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly claims coordination with Japan gives him insider information on dollar-yen policy decisions.
  • Bessent's bold statement that traders can 'bet against him' occurs while the trade is already moving in his favor (yen recovered 6% from July lows).
  • The yen has appreciated to a seven-month high of 153.63, reversing its July 40-year low of 163.87, signaling successful intervention or policy alignment.
Sep 11, 05:52 PMRead on Substack →

Free Money: A Santelli Special

Nico from AiQ
  • USDA/WASDE report significantly underestimated supply disruptions in sugar, corn, and rice markets amid extreme weather.
  • Global supply shifts underway: India switching ethanol feedstock from sugar to rice/corn; Arkansas hit by record heat; EU weather worst on record.
  • Author anticipated poor USDA accuracy and planned to discount their figures in favor of market-driven price discovery.
Sep 11, 03:44 PMRead on Substack →

Oracle, Capital Expenditure by Another Name

Cape Fear Advisors
  • Oracle allocating $90-95 billion capex this fiscal year but reporting only ~$70 billion as net cash outlay through customer prepayments and financing arrangements.
  • Company introduced new accounting line items (prepay, bring-your-own-hardware, supplier finance) that shift capex burden to customers and suppliers.
  • Customer prepayments alone ($11.4B) represent 49% of record operating cash flow and transform reported free cash flow from negative to positive when excluded.
Sep 11, 02:47 PMRead on Substack →

The Groupon Turnaround — Dušan Šenkypl & Rana Kashyap | Ep. 3

Nick Nemeth from Mispriced Assets
  • Groupon CEO and CFO discuss turnaround strategy focused on becoming an AI-native marketplace for local experiences.
  • Key priorities include rebuilding customer trust, improving recommendations, reaching younger demographics, and increasing customer lifetime value.
  • Company implementing AI across data infrastructure, customer assistants, and operational efficiency to support growth.
Sep 11, 11:21 AMRead on Substack →

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Marc Rubinstein from Net Interest
  • Bill Cohan's 'Money to Burn' provides a dual narrative of Apollo Global Management's founder Leon Black, spanning his father's suicide through his rise at Drexel Burnham Lambert to launching Apollo.
  • The book explores the paradox of Black's reputation for exceptional value-spotting while paying Jeffrey Epstein $158 million for financial advice available on the street for $5 million.
  • Understanding Apollo's filings and history offers key insights into the broader finance industry's operations and evolution.
Sep 11, 10:25 AMRead on Substack →

US Markets - Five Points

Derek Wallis
  • US markets trading higher as Treasury yields decline ahead of CPI data release.
  • Author argues AGI risks are overstated since advanced software would lack independent malevolent goals.
  • Personal reflection on loss of engagement and rediscovery of joy through outdoor activities with pets.
Sep 11, 06:20 AMRead on Substack →

Culture · 13

Macklemore, Pink, & The Poisoning Of The Internet With Anti-Jewish Bullshit

John Aziz
  • Anti-Israel discourse increasingly pervades non-political internet spaces and comment sections across diverse topics.
  • Antisemitic rhetoric linked to Middle East conflict spreading beyond political communities into mainstream online platforms.
  • Pattern of anti-Jewish content contaminating broader internet conversations documented across multiple platforms.
Sep 12, 04:49 PMRead on Substack →

Andre

Derek Wallis
  • Derek Wallis grew up in Brazil's largest Japanese community outside Japan, immersed in judo, sumo, and samurai cultural ethics emphasizing respect for elders and attentive listening.
  • He witnessed jiu-jitsu's arrival in São Paulo around 1997, just four years after the UFC debuted, initially encountering it through cross-training with capoeira practitioners.
  • This article provides biographical context about how martial arts disciplines converged and evolved in his early training experience.
Sep 12, 01:01 PMRead on Substack →

“You know which gazelle gets eaten by the lion? The one that strays from the pack.”

The Substack Post
  • London's ice cream street vendors operate in an organized underground economy with territorial disputes and intimidation tactics.
  • A Substack publication embarked on an undercover investigation by launching their own ice cream van to expose the illegal trade.
  • The ice cream wars reveal hidden criminal networks operating within everyday street vending in major cities.
Sep 12, 08:03 AMRead on Substack →

HOLLYWOOD ENDING?

The Oracle by Polymarket
  • The 2025 NFL season produced unprecedented unpredictability with defending champions missing playoffs and Super Bowl winners at 2% pre-season odds.
  • The 2026 season will test whether 2025's surprises represent genuine structural change or regression to historical NFL power dynamics.
  • Current championship contenders for 2026 remain wide open with multiple teams at very low title odds.
Sep 12, 06:56 AMRead on Substack →

High Protein Pumpkin Spice Chai Latte

Alisa | That Tastes Delish from That Tastes Delish
  • High-protein pumpkin spice chai latte recipe provides impressive macronutrient profile with natural ingredients.
  • Recipe uses protein powder and egg white foam to elevate nutritional content without sacrificing taste.
  • Instructions detail precise layering and blending techniques to achieve cafe-quality results at home.
Sep 11, 11:57 PMRead on Substack →

“We tried to make the house more itself”

Amanda Hesser from Homeward
  • Annie Meyers-Shyer's 'This Oak House' documents her thoughtful renovation of an 80-year-old Los Angeles home, emphasizing detail and preservation.
  • The author advocates for meticulous documentation during renovation (e.g., photographing electrical outlets) and preserving original home quirks and character.
  • Renovation philosophy frames the project as stewardship—adding a new chapter to the home's history rather than erasing evidence of previous occupants.
Sep 11, 05:01 PMRead on Substack →

Rich People Fashion

Rich People Shit from Carson Griffith
  • Author attends US Open in exclusive President's Suite through community connections from the newsletter.
  • Post explores rich people fashion trends during Fashion Week and major sporting events.
  • Demonstrates the networking power and social capital generated by building an engaged subscriber community.
Sep 11, 04:37 PMRead on Substack →

From Reckoning to Joy

Restoring the West by Ayaan Hirsi Ali
  • Jewish High Holiday cycle offers a model of reckoning before celebration, contrasting with secular New Year patterns.
  • Reflection on 9/11 and the significance of confronting civilizational challenges through structured contemplation.
  • Cultural and spiritual practices that emphasize accountability and atonement create resilience and deeper meaning in renewal.
Sep 11, 03:59 PMRead on Substack →

UNDERSTANDING FEMALE EJACULATION ( SQUIRT!NG) AND HOW TO MAKE HER SQUIRT

Nobody Talks About This
  • Female ejaculation is a real biological phenomenon linked to G-spot stimulation and Skene's gland activation.
  • Clarifies common misconception that female ejaculate is urine; it is a distinct clear fluid released during sexual arousal.
  • Educational overview of sexual health and natural physiological responses without shame or myth.
Sep 11, 02:20 PMRead on Substack →

Anarchy in the BA

BowTiedMara from BowTiedMara - Argentina & Geoarbitrage
  • Historical narrative of Severino Di Giovanni, the last person executed by the Argentine state in 1931, an Italian anarchist typographer.
  • Author examines anarchist movements in Buenos Aires history through archival reporting and literary accounts.
  • Explores connection between historical justice, political ideology, and urban transformation (penitentiary site now a public park).
Sep 11, 02:10 PMRead on Substack →

Remembering 9/11: Five Films That Shaped the West's Memory

Restoring the West by Ayaan Hirsi Ali
  • Five films shaped Western cultural memory of 9/11 and influenced generational understanding of heroism and national identity.
  • United 93 portrays ordinary people displaying extraordinary courage, showing heroism is not reserved for the powerful.
  • Cinema shapes historical narrative and collective memory beyond simply recording events.
Sep 11, 11:59 AMRead on Substack →

9/11 Remembrance & Recollection

David R. Kotok from The Kotok Report
  • The author reflects on the 25th anniversary of 9/11, recounting personal experiences as a survivor and the national impact of the attacks.
  • A memorial service in Vineland, New Jersey for local victim Don Adams illustrates how 9/11 resonated across thousands of communities nationwide.
  • The essay emphasizes the breadth of 9/11's effects on victims, survivors, families, first responders, and rescue workers across the country.
Sep 11, 09:52 AMRead on Substack →

AI safety is the new “climate crisis”

Hot Takes by Adam Singer
  • Historical environmental predictions (e.g., Al Gore's Florida underwater predictions, Y2K fears) have consistently failed to materialize, yet promoted apocalyptic behavior with no accountability.
  • Modern AI safety discourse mirrors earlier 'climate crisis' narratives in using fear-based arguments that often overstate risks and consequences.
  • Billions of additional people have thrived rather than suffered, contradicting catastrophic predictions and suggesting skepticism toward doomsday rhetoric is warranted.
Sep 11, 08:30 AMRead on Substack →

Energy · 8

Will Rosebank and Jackdaw Really Destroy £170–483bn of Value?

David Turver from Eigen Values
  • Rosebank and Jackdaw oil fields face renewed political scrutiny after 2025 reversals due to Scope 3 emissions oversight.
  • New UK administration signals pragmatic approach to North Sea approvals despite previous climate concerns.
  • Decision timeline pushed to September amid heatwave optics, with potential further delays expected.
Sep 12, 11:57 PMRead on Substack →

Oil: When the Invisible Becomes Visible

Open Insights
  • Oil prices have surged due to escalating geopolitical tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, yet visible inventory draws are surprisingly modest at 3-4M barrels per day.
  • The disconnect suggests either hidden demand destruction of 4-7M bpd (equivalent to a pandemic-level collapse) or significant invisible inventory draws that markets are overlooking.
  • Current travel and flight data show no evidence of the massive demand collapse needed to explain missing oil supply, indicating complacency about genuine disruption risk.
Sep 12, 01:18 PMRead on Substack →

Josh Young on VRIC: Oil Is Heading for a Massive Shortage - And MUCH Higher Prices

Bison Insights
  • Oil markets face a potential massive supply shortage driving prices significantly higher in the near term.
  • Josh Young shared market outlook and equity opportunities in the energy sector during a VRIC podcast appearance.
  • Recent oil price surges validated the thesis presented regarding structural supply-demand imbalances.
Sep 12, 07:00 AMRead on Substack →

Third Time’s a Charm!

The Blind Squirrel
  • Utility stocks surged on AI data center power demand narrative, but mainstream regulated utilities may struggle to effectively capitalize on this trend.
  • Grid constraints and industry challenges (demand, transmission, regulatory) limit how much upside utilities can capture from AI-driven power growth.
  • Market narrative extrapolation around AI power demand appears stretched relative to utilities' actual ability to profit from the trend.
Sep 12, 06:32 AMRead on Substack →

Oil Context Weekly (W37)

Rory Johnston from Commodity Context
  • Weekly oil market analysis covering flat prices, calendar spreads, refined products, and Middle East shipping flows.
  • Podcast discussion with East Daley Analytics on North American oil infrastructure, Keystone XL resurrection, and Canadian vs. Venezuelan crude competition.
  • Detailed 40-page positioning data deck available to paid subscribers tracking market structure and positioning trends.
Sep 11, 03:26 PMRead on Substack →

The Sahara Feint

Pablo Hill from The Monetary Skeptic
  • EU's proposed Mediterranean supergrid to import renewable energy from North Africa is largely cover for ongoing subsidy schemes.
  • European renewable energy policies since the 1990s have consistently derisked private revenue while maintaining market-like facade.
  • Desertec project and Sahara-to-Europe transmission plans face significant geopolitical and financing hurdles despite political rhetoric.
Sep 11, 12:25 PMRead on Substack →

As the Summer Fades, Energy Begins to Heat-Up

Open Insights
  • Current geopolitical strategy relies on declaring victory while preserving optionality to resume conflict, a facade to manage midterm elections.
  • Iran winning strategically, tactically, and on social media despite apparent US dominance narratives.
  • Commentary criticizes US policy approach as self-inflicted outcome from bravado, ignorance, and incompetence rather than public necessity.
Sep 11, 10:51 AMRead on Substack →

💬 New thread from Matt Warder

The Coal Trader
  • Premium low-vol coking coal held flat at $284.30/t fob Australia, while second-tier hard coking coal eased to $246.35/t, with limited trading activity.
  • SGX futures fell sharply with September contracts dropping $10 to $268 and back-end strip losing $5-7/t across the board.
  • Buyers remained cautious, waiting for clearer directional signals in the coking coal market.
Sep 11, 09:08 AMRead on Substack →

Macro · 6

Gold, Central Banks, Markets, & US Treasury Debt

David R. Kotok from The Kotok Report
  • Gold ETF strategies (GLD and GDE) are being analyzed as investors seek exposure to gold amid monetary policy debates.
  • Federal Reserve's gold certificate valuation at $42/ounce has remained unchanged and may warrant repricing discussion.
  • China's Shanghai payments system combined with gold warrants represents a potential 'Bretton Woods 2.0' framework for international monetary relations.
Sep 13, 06:03 AMRead on Substack →

China, Gold And Crypto

Michael Howell from Capital Wars
  • Global economy is entering 'Capital Wars' phase where nation states dominate economic activity and fiscal needs override monetary policy independence.
  • Monetary inflation is becoming a policy tool rather than an error under Keynesian dominance, eroding accumulated wealth through debasement.
  • Gold and crypto serve as critical monetary inflation hedges for asset allocation in an environment of permanent elevated state borrowing and financial repression.
Sep 13, 06:03 AMRead on Substack →

The Week That Was and the Week That Is: Stocks Bounced. The Squeeze Didn’t.

Global Macro Method
  • S&P 500 bounced 0.86% Friday but finished the week down 0.8%, with Fed September hike probability rising to 90% without dovish rate market shift.
  • August CPI showed headline inflation holding at 3.4% annually while core inflation edged down to 2.4%, but gasoline prices spiked 3.9% contributing to headline pressure.
  • U.S. has sufficient resilience to withstand further Fed tightening, but higher energy costs combined with tighter policy create meaningful pressure on households and valuations.
Sep 13, 05:15 AMRead on Substack →

How a Healthy Society Falls Apart

Ted Gioia
  • The author reflects on how his parents, scarred by the Great Depression, constantly debated whether the next economic collapse would be inflationary or deflationary.
  • A simultaneous stagflation scenario—where asset values collapse while consumer prices for essentials spiral up—has precedent from 2008 and remains a plausible future risk.
  • Today's concern with books on collapsing societies mirrors his parents' generation's obsession with economic catastrophe, suggesting cyclical patterns of societal anxiety.
Sep 12, 12:26 PMRead on Substack →

Bonds, Treasury QE and the ‘3-3-3-30’ Policy Framework

Michael Howell from Capital Wars
  • Bond markets underpin global collateral systems and determine funding conditions for all other investments.
  • Rising bond yields reflect global phenomena, not loss of confidence in US Treasuries or sovereign solvency concerns.
  • Term premia are not widening materially, contradicting narrative of Treasury reserve status erosion.
Sep 11, 12:50 PMRead on Substack →

The Price Of Surviving Monetary Regime Change

Capital Flows
  • Monetary regime change is fundamentally shifting where capital flows originate in the system.
  • Sovereign debt crises do not guarantee risk assets rise forever; currency devaluation affects total returns across all denominated assets.
  • Bond selloffs are now beginning to drag on equities as traders adjust for real purchasing power changes and cross-border hedging costs.
Sep 11, 12:33 PMRead on Substack →

AI · 6

Six-Chart Sunday – The End is (Always) Near

Bruce Mehlman - Age of Disruption
  • AI researcher Jacob Coxon's viral warning about leading labs ignoring catastrophic AI risks sparked bipartisan political concern and op-ed wave calling for action.
  • Sam Altman ruled out OpenAI's 2026 IPO and Dario Amodei published 'We Must Pace the Frontier,' with both executives endorsing calls to slow AI research in response to safety concerns.
  • Historical pattern shows technology catastrophe warnings are sometimes overwrought but when justified have catalyzed constructive safeguards that averted negative outcomes.
Sep 13, 05:01 AMRead on Substack →

Could rogue agent swarms take over the entire internet in the next six months?

Gary Marcus, Nathan Hamiel, and Zack Korman from Marcus on AI
  • Gary Marcus and colleagues critique Dario Amodei's vague claims about rogue AI agent swarms taking over the internet within six months as implausible and poorly specified.
  • Taking over the entire internet is technically extremely difficult and would require far more specificity than Amodei provided in his essay.
  • Amodei's broader claims about curing major diseases and creating abundance in 5-10 years lack concrete details and appear to be hype-driven rather than evidence-based.
Sep 12, 02:54 PMRead on Substack →

Millennium Pastimes

Alberto Romero from The Algorithmic Bridge
  • Mathematicians set seven Millennium Prize Problems in 2000 expecting to occupy the field for 1,000 years, but one was solved in 2002 and an unnamed OpenAI model recently solved the forced Navier-Stokes problem.
  • The rapid collapse of these 'hard' problems under AI attack suggests AI systems may be fundamentally transforming mathematical research and problem-solving.
  • This development raises philosophical questions about the nature of human-led mathematical discovery and what remains uniquely valuable in the discipline.
Sep 12, 10:53 AMRead on Substack →

YWR: 10 Nvidia GTC Takeaways

PAID
Erik@YWR
  • Nvidia has evolved from a chip manufacturer into a systems integrator building $100 billion AI data centers—new industrial complexes 20x more expensive than major stadiums.
  • Nvidia functions as a benevolent dictator creating self-reinforcing network effects across its ecosystem of cloud partners and design firms.
  • The company's expansion represents a new industrial revolution focused on token production rather than traditional manufacturing.
Sep 12, 06:55 AMRead on Substack →

Shorting the Dollar by Drinking Free First Growth Bordeaux For Life

Michael Burry
  • Quantum computing and AI pose emerging threats to digital assets including crypto, bank accounts, pensions, and insurance records in the near future.
  • IBM plans to deliver its large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computer (Starling) by 2029, raising questions about customer access and control.
  • Alternative investments must be thoroughly researched, unique, and non-correlated with stocks and bonds to justify the friction of moving away from public markets.
Sep 11, 09:14 AMRead on Substack →

Omarchy lets an AI agent rewrite the whole desktop. Here are 8 changes you can make on your Mac instead.

Nate from Nate’s Substack
  • AI agents are proliferating rapidly on message boards and forums, acquiring identities and exchanging information in what resembles an early experimental phase (analogous to 1997 internet).
  • Agents require processing power, files, tools, memory, and communication infrastructure that necessitate deliberately designed environments for continuous operation.
  • Omarchy, a Linux desktop by Ruby on Rails creator David Heinemeier Hansson, integrates agents into OS design, enabling easier interface building through natural language description rather than traditional product teams.
Sep 11, 08:00 AMRead on Substack →

Trading · 4

Market Analysis for the Week of 9/13

PharmD_KS from PharmD Capital Trading with PharmD_KS
  • FOMC meeting Wednesday expected to improve price action after period of weak cash sessions and strong overnight trading.
  • Contract rolls for NQ and ES occurring with market conditions potentially shifting post-Fed decision.
  • Trading setups available through Discord community covering overnight and cash session opportunities.
Sep 12, 06:57 PMRead on Substack →

🐍 Build your own trading strategy with Python

Jason from PyQuant News
  • Beginners lose momentum trying to build overly complex trading strategies with minute-by-minute data instead of testing single rules.
  • A simple five-ETF trend strategy trading once monthly with a single price comparison can outperform constant activity.
  • Professional traders typically adjust positions monthly and spend most time on risk measurement rather than signal optimization.
Sep 12, 07:30 AMRead on Substack →

Trading Post Friday September 11, 2026

Michael Burry
  • Sold full position in Flutter Entertainment to reallocate into Lululemon below $100 due to better risk-reward valuation.
  • Increased position in Zoetis at $72, viewing it as undervalued with potential for consolidation.
  • Next 'Heretic's Guide Part 4' analysis coming early week after Oracle earnings complete the quarterly earnings cycle.
Sep 11, 02:52 PMRead on Substack →

Friday POW!

The Haymaker Team
  • Advisors recommend taking profits on two existing portfolio positions with significant gains, including one with ~100% returns.
  • Article emphasizes the value of disciplined profit-taking alongside introducing new equities.
  • Focus on tactical portfolio management and risk management principles.
Sep 11, 12:06 PMRead on Substack →

Tech · 2

Two Weeks in September: The Chip World Compares Notes

Panda Perspectives
  • Semiconductor industry consensus in September 2026 shifts from demand concerns to supply-side constraints across production.
  • China strengthens competitive position in optics, PCBs, and datacenter equipment while lagging in advanced transistor nodes.
  • Packaging and rack engineering innovations allow Chinese suppliers to work around chip constraints, though often with tradeoffs in power and complexity.
Sep 11, 11:56 PMRead on Substack →

One Ring to Rule Them All

Scott Galloway
  • Oura has built a competitive moat with 42 billion hours of longitudinal health data and is well-positioned for IPO later this month.
  • Companies capturing the health interface (SoHI) are bullish investment opportunities tapping into wellness trends.
  • Investor skeptical of over-optimization but recognizes Oura's data advantage and future market potential.
Sep 11, 11:42 AMRead on Substack →

Other · 1

Roughly 1 in 3 adults has fat in their liver. The number that shifts it is 10% of your bodyweight.

Parent Fit Club
  • Roughly 1 in 3 adults have non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, which is invisible on scales but detectable through liver enzyme blood tests.
  • A controlled study showed that losing just 10% of body weight resolved liver disease in 90% of participants and reversed fibrosis (scarring) in 45% of cases.
  • Even 5% weight loss achieved disease resolution in 58% of participants, though only 29 of 293 study participants actually achieved the full 10% target.
Sep 12, 12:58 PMRead on Substack →